The iron law of “nothing ever happens” necessitates this

Or Microsoft and Meta will make sure there’s less competition in the future for their own LLMs?

I do think that if OpenAI goes bust that’s gonna trigger a market panic that’s gonna end the hype cycle.

But then how will people write 20 cover letters a day to keep up with the increasing rate of instant rejections?

Saw a really depressing ad at work the other day where Google was advertising their thing and it was some person asking their LLM to write a letter for their daughter to this athlete bragging about how she’ll break her record one day. They couch it in “here’s a draft” but it’s just so bleak. The idea that a child so excited about doing a sport and dreaming of going to the Olympics and getting a world record can’t just write a bit of a clumsy letter expressing themselves to their hero is just beyond depressing. Writing swill for automated systems that are going to reject you anyway is one thing, but the idea that they think that this is a legitimate use of these models just highlights how obnoxiously out of touch they are.

How do we learn and grow as people and find our own writing voices if we don’t write some of the most cringe shit imaginable when we’re young. I wrote a weird letter to Emma Watson in middle school, nobody ever read it, but it was a learning experience and made me actually have to think about my own feelings. These techbros have to have been grown in vats.

So the emotional resonance I felt when I asked ChatGPT to write me a song about my experiences still loving the parent that abused me was what to you?

Like the results were objectively artless glurge of course but I needed that in that moment.

I promise this isn’t true. AI is absolutely a scam in the sense that it’s overhype as fuck, but LLMs are frequently of practical use to me when doing basically anything technical. It has helped me solve real-life problems that actually materially helps others.

It’s good for occasional questions to avoid IRC assholes. It’s also interesting technology and isn’t super helpful now but it would be interesting to see future developments.

LLMs are useful when you don’t know what terms to put in a search engine

Lmao even

I agree that this tech has lots of legitimate uses, and it’s actually good for the hype cycle to end early so people can get back to figuring out how to apply this stuff where it makes sense. LLMs also managed to suck up all the air in the room, but I expect the real value is going to come from using them as a component in larger systems utilizing different techniques.

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They have places they can be used, and I think that some of the smaller models might find their way into more niches as time goes on.

But there’s just not enough uses for OpenAI to make back their investment. The hope that LLMs would turn into a General AI is pretty much dead, and the results are in from the early adopters AIs more often increase workloads rather than decrease them.

I think there are legitimate uses for this tech, but they’re pretty niche and difficult to monetize in practice. For most jobs, correctness matters, and if the system can’t be guaranteed to produce reasonably correct results then it’s not really improving productivity in a meaningful way.

I find this stuff is great in cases where you already have domain knowledge, and maybe you want to bounce ideas off and the output it generates can stimulate an idea in your head. Whether it understands what it’s outputting really doesn’t matter in this scenario. It also works reasonably well as a coding assistant, where it can generate code that points you in the right direction, and it can be faster to do that than googling.

We’ll probably see some niches where LLMs can be pretty helpful, but their capabilities are incredibly oversold at the moment.

I’ve been thinking AI generated dialogue in Animal Crossing would be an improvement over the 2020 game.

To clarify I’m not wanting the writers at the animal crossing factory to be replaced with ChatGPT. Having conversations that are generated in real time in addition to the animals’ normal dialogue just sounds like fun. Also I want them to be catty again because I like drama.

Is there a single LLM you can’t game into apologizing for saying something factual then correcting itself with a completely made up result lol

The LLM characters will send you on a quest, and then you’ll go do it, and then you’ll come back and they won’t know you did it and won’t be able to give you a reward, because the game doesn’t know the LLM made up a quest, and doesn’t have a way to detect that you completed the thing that was made up.

Cory Doctorow has a good write-up on the reverse centaur problem and why there’s no foreseeable way that LLMs could be profitable. Because of the way they’re error-prone, LLMs are really only suited to low-stakes uses, and there are lots of low-stakes, low-value uses people have found for them. But they need high-value use-cases to be profitable, and all of the high-value use-cases anyone has identified for them are also high-stakes.