On May 17 and 18 the Arab American Anti-Discrimination Committee and the Truth Project asked 36,139 Arab Americans and “allied voters,” “Who are you voting for in November?” 2,196 people responded.
2% Trump
7% Biden
25% Jill Stein
20% Cornell West
19% Undecided
23% Uncommitted
3% Stay home
A poll published at the end of October 2023 found “only 17% of Arab American voters saying they will vote for Biden in 2024—a staggering drop from 59% in 2020.”
Then a couple weeks ago a NYT poll “found Trump leading among registered Middle Eastern, North African or Muslim voters in the swing states, with 57 percent saying they were planning to back him in November. Only 25 percent said they were supporting Biden.”
So an 8% increase for Biden? Hard to view that as a negative.
59% in 2020 to 25% in 2024 is a decrease of 34% for Biden.
Sure and I imagine most all of that decline is due to the Israel/Gaza war. That he’s gained 8% back since it started, while being heavily criticized for his handling of it, seems like a win.
Except you’re comparing apples to oranges. The October poll was national while the most recent poll was just done in battleground states.
You forget: any poll centrists don’t like must be faulty and too far out from the election.