Donald Trump appears close to invincible in the early Republican primaries and caucuses, but his strength among general election voters remains unclear.
  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
    27·
    9 months ago

    They are when you track them over time. In each of these states, support for Trump is growing, not shrinking.

    • GiddyGap@lemm.eeOP
      51·
      9 months ago

      Maybe, maybe not. You sound very confident in Trump. I’m not.

      Sure, there’s a risk Trump will somehow pull out a win in the electoral college. But I don’t think he’s the favorite by any stretch of the imagination.

      • fluxion@lemmy.worldEnglish
        81·
        9 months ago

        Assume he is and act accordingly. Otherwise we’ll ll have the the rest of our lives to regret it.

      • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
        1·
        9 months ago

        Well, I’ve been following the polling in these states for several months now and I’ve watched them go from 1/2 Biden 1/2 Trump, to all Trump by a couple of points, to all Trump by 5 to 6 points.

        The momentum is definitely with Trump at this point.

        Can he maintain it? Dunno.

        • GiddyGap@lemm.eeOP
          2·
          9 months ago

          Dude, we’ve all been watching. And everyone knows that it’s going to be close. It always is. Doesn’t take a rocket scientist to predict that. It’s also way too early to conclude anything from polling.

          • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
            1·
            9 months ago

            The whole point is following the trend line. If the trend continues, it’s important to have been following it as soon as possible.

            • GiddyGap@lemm.eeOP
              2·
              9 months ago

              You can find any trend you want in statistics. The only trend that matters is on election day.

              • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
                1·
                9 months ago

                And by the time you can report on that, it’s far too late to do anything about it.

                Which is why you follow the trend line now.