At the moment, it seems clear Russia is winning the Ukraine war, and no matter how many weapons NATO gives, that reality likely won’t change. Still, others have dreamed up a theory of victory for Ukraine that looks nearly impossible, but, nonetheless, should be considered and debated. Indeed, while it might not be a popular […]
  • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
    31·
    14 days ago

    At the same time, the hope is that Russian society would come out en masse against Russian President Putin and dispose of him from power.

    Theory that Russia will collapse relies on hoping that Russians don’t understand the existential threat of NATO expansion, and NATO hatred of them, AND all Russian power brokers will start believing NATO disinformation, AND risk of losing war will motivate Russians to surrender to Ukraine/NATO.

    Instead, any Russian regime change is likely to be caused by Putin weakness and failure to nuke German and UK US military bases. Or otherwise perception of insufficient aggression/speed of progress.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
      32·
      14 days ago

      Exactly, the only actual criticism of Putin in Russia is that he’s being too soft with the west. If Putin is somehow ousted from power, then it would almost certainly be by somebody far more hardline like Medvedev. The whole notion of regime change as a path towards defeating Russia is fundamentally rooted in lack of basic understanding of the political situation in Russia.