Poilievre is not destined to lose, but he’s vulnerable because the feeling that he was destined to win has dissipated. That feeling was an artefact, one he crafted with real skill, using [Trudeau]'s many flaws to distract from some of his own. He’s facing a new opponent, who is new to campaigning and can jettison only so much of the Trudeau record. It’s hardly obvious who’ll win.
I’m not sure that Poilievre needed to distract from his own flaws - Canadians often vote against politicians. There were a lot of people feeling the cost of living polycrisis who wanted a change. I suspect the CPC could have run a rock as leader and beaten Trudeau.
Carney is a similar case because some of us are using him as the option to vote against Poilievre.
The cost of living polycrisis is estimated to be 45-70% caused by oil energy prices; yet very few provinces, and certainly not the feds, will do anything about oil dependency.
I’m all for extracting oil, since we’re still a resource economy, but don’t get high on your own supply!
Up until quite recently, Canada was still a major exporter of asbestos. Wielding what some have called a massive, government sanctioned, corporate run propaganda campaign to continue brisk sales of the stuff. Let’s not be doing the same with oil and gas. Asbestos has killed, and continues to kill, a very large number of people. Keeping on with the fossil fuel economy, even if all Canada does is export it, could already be set to kill literally everyone.
I would love to see oil go the way of asbestos and just be a problem for the next 100 years, but unless a lot of people get really cool with nuclear power and plastic alternatives, we’re going to be using a decent amount of oil products for a while. I would rather avoid a situation like Germany, where we build a dozen coal plants because a foreign nation decided to stop playing nice.
Do you have a source for this? I struggle to see how most Canadians use enough oil products to account for anywhere near 45% of the cost of living.
Obviously there are secondary uses (shipping fuel), oil by-products (plastic), and people who still heat their homes with oil, but it really doesn’t seem like it could be approaching 45% Canada wide.
The IISD report is talking about a specific period (February 2021 to June 2022) where 33% of inflation can be attributed to oil prices. Outside of that 16 month period though (which was during the absolute peak of oil prices), oil would contribute much less to inflation.
I disagree with the methodology of the False Profits report. A big part of their 43% cost of living increase is attributed to interest rate hikes by BoC and associated job losses. They are also benchmarking to 2019 oil prices (to avoid the effects of the pandemic), but are ignoring the fact that oil prices had been artificially depressed by OPEC overproduction since 2014. If you look at historic oil prices, we’re still significantly below the 2004-2014 inflation-adjusted average.
Overall though, I think both of these reports are looking at specific moments in time, and oil prices aren’t nearly as impactful on our cost of living as they want us to believe.
I’m not sure that Poilievre needed to distract from his own flaws - Canadians often vote against politicians. There were a lot of people feeling the cost of living polycrisis who wanted a change. I suspect the CPC could have run a rock as leader and beaten Trudeau.
Carney is a similar case because some of us are using him as the option to vote against Poilievre.
The cost of living polycrisis is estimated to be 45-70% caused by oil energy prices; yet very few provinces, and certainly not the feds, will do anything about oil dependency.
I’m all for extracting oil, since we’re still a resource economy, but don’t get high on your own supply!
I wish our high was our own supply; we sell crude to the US & China and buy petrol products back!
@Nouveau_Burnswick@lemmy.world
Up until quite recently, Canada was still a major exporter of asbestos. Wielding what some have called a massive, government sanctioned, corporate run propaganda campaign to continue brisk sales of the stuff. Let’s not be doing the same with oil and gas. Asbestos has killed, and continues to kill, a very large number of people. Keeping on with the fossil fuel economy, even if all Canada does is export it, could already be set to kill literally everyone.
I would love to see oil go the way of asbestos and just be a problem for the next 100 years, but unless a lot of people get really cool with nuclear power and plastic alternatives, we’re going to be using a decent amount of oil products for a while. I would rather avoid a situation like Germany, where we build a dozen coal plants because a foreign nation decided to stop playing nice.
Do you have a source for this? I struggle to see how most Canadians use enough oil products to account for anywhere near 45% of the cost of living.
Obviously there are secondary uses (shipping fuel), oil by-products (plastic), and people who still heat their homes with oil, but it really doesn’t seem like it could be approaching 45% Canada wide.
https://www.iisd.org/articles/deep-dive/fossil-fuels-drive-inflation-canada has 33%
https://www.falseprofits.ca/reports 43%
The higher numbers I had in my head were probably related to specific products/industries
Thanks for the links.
The IISD report is talking about a specific period (February 2021 to June 2022) where 33% of inflation can be attributed to oil prices. Outside of that 16 month period though (which was during the absolute peak of oil prices), oil would contribute much less to inflation.
I disagree with the methodology of the False Profits report. A big part of their 43% cost of living increase is attributed to interest rate hikes by BoC and associated job losses. They are also benchmarking to 2019 oil prices (to avoid the effects of the pandemic), but are ignoring the fact that oil prices had been artificially depressed by OPEC overproduction since 2014. If you look at historic oil prices, we’re still significantly below the 2004-2014 inflation-adjusted average.
Overall though, I think both of these reports are looking at specific moments in time, and oil prices aren’t nearly as impactful on our cost of living as they want us to believe.