The website admits as much:

We asked the smartest AI systems on Earth when they think AGI will happen. Their answers might surprise you.

Clearly written by someone who spends more time chatting with chatbots than talking to actual people. The bulk of the argument is that he asked the chatbots when AI was gonna foom and they told him “In a few years I guess my man”.

The “reading progress” widget bugged out for me and got stuck at 92%, it also links to a page that doesn’t exist.

Still curious? We’ve answered 50+ more questions. […] Showing 22 of 22 questions

I was promised 50+ FAQ questions :(

Anyway I stumbled across the arbitration clause so I’d better stop looking at the website in case I ever have to sue this guy for any reason!

Trans people continue to be very worried about US politics despite the blue wave. In Washington and Colorado the trans sports ban is ahead. In Colorado the trans youth healthcare ban is ahead. A lot of the transphobic democrats are doing OK vote wise.

The very real risk here is that trans rights continue to backslide even under a democratic congress or, two years from now, a democratic congress and executive branch.

So while the transgender for everyone memes are appreciated, we’re not out of the woods yet. Liberals are also susceptible to anti-trans propaganda and boy howdy there has been a lot of it.

All that said: the trans council does not bestow the honor of transition on Musk. He must remain cis and miserable.

Much better for RAM to be sitting behind a network hop with 100 milliseconds of latency amirite?

if you’re trying to deal with this very supply-constrained environment,

We’re all trying to find the guy who did this .jpg

Edit: also lol at the unstated implication that no one should ever want to use RAM for anything besides getting blathered at by a chatbot.

The CEO claimed that AI will potentially be able to create something as important as the transistor, or discover major efficiency gains

Did anyone ever fall for this ridiculous argument when it was used for “uhmm actually the massive datacenter buildout is great for global warming because chatbots will chat at us how to make better solar panels or something”?

Well the youtube comments seem to like it but IMO that is a pretty awful ad since it didn’t use the opportunity to highlight their product. It practically shows more reasons not to use firefox than to use it.

We hear that firefox is private in some unspecified way, and… that’s about it. The rest of the ad is talking about how everyone left it in the first place, that it comes bundled with default-enabled AI stuff you don’t want, and that the internet you might want to use it with no longer exists. Talk about a self own.

Why did they not talk about customizability? Compact mode? Adblock support? Colors and theming? Syncing? Anything at all???

Yeah the Nintendo 3DS is incredible. Unironically my favorite videogame system.

All I see around me is stagnation," she gestured at the gas stations nearby with cracked pavement,

*gasp* cracked pavement

“crime,” she continued, pointing towards a sketchy neighborhood to the west,

*faints* minorities

Glenn Beck is listed as one of the “leaders”. That guy is still around?

Here’s that falling apple thing so that it might be referenced in the full post: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5wMcKNAwB6X4mp9og/that-alien-message

I totally remembered the claim wrong. Forgive me for I am after all mere human and not a Bayesian superintelligence:

A Bayesian superintelligence, hooked up to a webcam, would invent General Relativity as a hypothesis—perhaps not the dominant hypothesis, compared to Newtonian mechanics, but still a hypothesis under direct consideration—by the time it had seen the third frame of a falling apple. It might guess it from the first frame, if it saw the statics of a bent blade of grass.

I wonder how many webcam frames were needed for the ancestor simulations; given that we’re all actually digital copies in Newcombian-basilisk-hell™ without realizing it.

I’m starting to think that simulating the future and past based on a single picture of a falling apple might be a little difficult.

One of them is enamored with Elon Musk. I just stay quiet about that.

I can’t quit for another year or two for healthcare reasons but I’ll be so glad when I can finally say goodbye to that god-forsaken job.

The curl blog post claims that they fixed bunches of other vulnerabilities using AI before this.

Which is to say: even if you accept the questionable premise that AI is “good at finding software vulnerabilities” it doesn’t change anything. It’s not the end of the world. It’s essentially just another fuzzing technique. The low hanging fruit gets discovered and patched, and life goes on (just with more annoying chatbot spam than before).

I was trying to tell my coworkers this when Mythos was in the news but they were all freaking out about no software ever being secure ever again or something rather than at best a one time blip.

Like, if a person tried to pass off software that did this it would have significant career implications, right?

Typically no.

The space of incredibly obvious failures is vast, and this kind of plumbing code isn’t always written by someone who’s been around the block enough times to think about what kinds of things can go wrong. I’ve written worse code when I had only a few years of experience.

However companies should know this; so ideally the tool would have gone through a launch review which should have kicked off a security review where a security expert should have read about the git checkout in the design document and started asking questions like “what happens if the repository is taken over” or “why are hashes and branches and tags all in the same field”?

Of course security experts who think about stuff like supply chain attacks are expensive and slow down the darling vibe-coding workflows of Silicon Valley so…

Aside: even without this particular vulnerability, SHA-1 is considered weak – https://git-scm.com/docs/hash-function-transition, so that should have been thought about as well. Dear supply-chain attackers: maybe there’s still a hole here! Good luck!

Ah yes I always wanted to read an article in the form of a lot of teeny tiny boxes with lots and lots of janky scrolling.

Although no specific errors in this story have so far been identified

Well here’s the very start of the retracted article:

On the screen, two side-by-side squares of color flicker rapidly

Except oops it was referring to a study that used groups of moving dots rather than “squares”. This can be seen in that studies first figure. Bam. A specific error in the first sentence…

(Am I being too pedantic?)

It is amazing to me how many companies love setting money on fire. And instead of, I don’t know, funding a library or something they do nonsense like this.

We Should Improve Society Somewhat .jpg

FWIW, I literally lost my house last week. I’ve put everything into making sure that AI is not institutionally captured by capital.

Yikes.

machines will give a harder fight than trans people have

Rude.

Your natural rights are so protected by law that you had to flee America. Some of us stay behind and our natural rights do not go away simply because the law no longer protects us. Instead of running away, some of us must stay to fight.

Also rude.

This is my bet for real time continuous learning AI infrastructure. We’re gearing up for a major update. You’ll be able to login with your Bsky / Atproto account. It’s not our AI, it’s yours. Open source, open weights, and it learns what you want it to. www.hyprstream.com

Overall the weirdest advertisement I’ve read in awhile.

China received word of Agent-3 capabilities and Agent-4 plans before losing their final spy.

“Our last spy got addicted to superhumanly persuasive AI generated anime girls and quit. So dang we’re like plum out of spies now.”

Inside the Agent-4 collective, a year passes every week.

Good luck proving this prediction true or false given that computer algorithms do not have a concept of time separate from the real one lol.

I’m tired of hearing the same near future sci-fi political thriller story over and over. When are they going to get new material? Ghost in the Shell did it better anyway. Sigh. I might as well do the requisite sneering once again.

Mid 2025: Advertisements for computer-using agents emphasize the term “personal assistant”.

You could even call them a personal digital assistant. Or PDA for short. Maybe Chat-GPT should rebrand as something that emphasizes this, they could call it “Palm Pilot”.

Mid 2025: AI personal assistants can be prompted with tasks like “order me a burrito on DoorDash”.

Hunger pains interrupting your game? Order pizza while playing Everquest II!

September 2027: Agent-4 doesn’t do anything dramatic like try to escape its datacenter.

You know… I think I’ll give them this one.

October 2027: The NYT article cites evaluations showing Agent-4’s off-the-charts bioweapons capabilities, persuasion abilities, and ability to automate most white-collar jobs.

lmao

Anyway that aside: Petition to make the Daniel Curve a term of art. I want to hear less talk from the tech visionaries about how we’re in the gentle singularity or the soft-serve singularity or maybe kinda sorta approaching the singularity if you squint. I want to hear more talk about where exactly we are in the Daniel Curve.