yeah lol. i mean elizabeth warren is a vicious neoliberal authoritarian cunt but she has no political power or support. but bernie and aoc are both moderate principled politicians for the most part.
For a better take on what dalios saying better to read peter turchin and avoid the billionaire capitalist cockamamie version
an extraordinary streak of 415 days above previous highs and we just crossed back to the previous year level
So basically you are poopooing an article you didnt read because you got bothered by one decontextualized pull quote.
“The article might have been well-informed and factual, but starting with such an absurd premise, I couldn’t maintain interest long enough to find out.”
why bother commenting if you haven’t read it or even knowing if the “absurd premise” is even in fact a premise required to support the rest of the thing?
To be fair , not once has the IEA been right about anything, its been kind of a running joke for decades.
It boggles my mind how easy it is to tribally code an issue that should be completely uncontroversial in order to make it unsolvable. Everyone should agree that we shouldn’t have every mother having pfas in their breast milk, but with a few thousand dollars and a PR firm you can make that an issue think its a good idea because their ideological enemy thinks the opposite.
Its like back when every official person said you cant register dirty from poppy seeds on food and all these people were busted for opiates and got convicted for it and then when it was finally independently tested it turns out you can fail from eating a couple poppy seed bagels
Looking at real estate across usa, in places that someone could conceivably want to live or be able to get a job, and so much of it is listed for prices that make no sense to me. By makes no sense i mean who can even qualify for these houses on 30 year loan? not 90% of the population. In canada multiply that 4X or more.
Canada is so fucked right now, its a giant bubble , the medical system is utterly broken, meth is epidemic, the homeless encampments are huge and growing , full of lunatics and druggies, people are paying $600 for a mattress in a basement with other random people paying for mattress in the same basement.
Also canada i noticed the grocery stores have really shitty meat and vegetables, often having mostly bare shelfs with some meat cuts that even the soviet union would consider dogfood. There is an oligopoly and lots of the different stores are under same umbrella i notice after going to multiple stores its all the same shit and same deficit
Down in texas heat records have been broken, tomato plants cant even survive the heat they literally cook to death.
If you cant come to grips with the scientific fact that ecological destruction has a direct connection to population then you should start a special sub for CollapseMagicalThinking.
Life requires resources these resources have flow rates, for example the amount of human appropriated calories that are possible to grow in one m2 is limited by things like sunlight temperature nutrient inputs etc… This is scientifically measurable and all creatures including humans are constrained by such things. We are also constrained by waste production and the rate of waste detoxification by ecosystem services.
Of course “affluence” as measured by consumption is also part of the equation P*A=environmental impact. Humans appropriation of global bioproductivity is already pushed the other life on earth into mass extinction. Its already reduced many areas to lower bioproductivity levels. Over 40% of our current population number is dependent on advanced synthetic fertilizers that are highly dependent on fossil fuels and other depleting resources.
High population doesn’t imply killing people. It can mean voluntary birth control usage and lowering the ability of the global 1% to engage in excessive consumption rather than killing the poor that use a tiny fraction of the resources per capita.
Its strange to me that so many people in here talking about eugenics when neither eleitl nor the paper posted had anything to do with eugenics. This place is a dimwitted mob of barely literates arguing with imaginary ideological enemies. actually i probably shouldn’t use the word “arguing” since that requires something like a chain of claims-reasoning-evidence etc…
Until recently, nobody knew what kind of sialic acid receptors cows had, because it was believed that they didn’t catch A-strain flu viruses like H5N1.
Larsen and his colleagues in the US and Denmark took tissue samples from the lungs, windpipes, brains and mammary glands of calves and cows and stained them with compounds that they knew would attach to different kinds of sialic acid receptors. They sliced the stained tissues very thinly and peered at them under a microscope.
What they saw was surprising: The tiny milk-producing sacs of the udder, called alveoli, were brimming with sialic acid receptors, and they had both the kind of receptors associated with birds and those that are more common in people. Almost every cell they looked at contained both types of receptors, said lead study author Dr. Charlotte Kristensen, a postdoctoral researcher in veterinary pathology at the University of Copenhagen.
That finding has raised concern because one way flu viruses change and evolve is by swapping pieces of their genetic material with other flu viruses. This process, called reassortment, requires that a cell be infected with two different flu viruses at the same time.
“If you get both viruses in the same cell at the same time, you can essentially get hybrid viruses coming out of it,” said study author Dr. Richard Webby, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Studies on the Ecology of Influenza in Animals and Birds.
In order to be infected simultaneously with two flu viruses – a bird flu virus and a human flu virus – a cell would need to have both kinds of sialic acid receptors, which cows do, something that wasn’t known before this study.
“I think this is probably a pretty rare event,” said Webby, who has been studying the H5N1 virus for 25 years.
In order for something like that to happen, a cow infected with the bird flu virus would need to pick up a different flu strain from an infected human. Currently, human flu infections are low across the country and dropping as flu season winds down, making the possibility of something like this happening even more remote.
Between 2003 and 2023, British aggregate prosperity increased by just 3.4%, whilst population numbers expanded by 14%, leaving the average person worse off by 9.5%.
This is what ive been telling the people jawboning about population decline as bad for the economy and being an imminent disaster. They like to point out japan but with a tiny economic “growth rate” and shrinking population they can still achieve higher standard of living than a country with a higher “economic growth” but expanding population. The truth is expanding population creates labor competition and drives down labors power and compensation, along with increasing rent-extraction percentages for parasite capitalists. The truth is population reduction doesnt reduce standard of living it increases it as long as growth or even degrowth is divided among smaller population (of course distribution being a factor).
Even in the plague population crashes standard of living shot up so much it added inches to the populations skeletons and massive increases in standard of living along with substantially reducing ownership class’s rent extraction capability.
The researchers initially correlated measured temperatures for the months of June, July, and August of 2023 with those recorded in the period 1850 to 1900. They discovered that the average temperature in summer 2023 was 2.07°C warmer than that of the summers of the phase from 1850 to 1900, which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses as a reference period for pre-industrial temperatures. To generate a more extensive comparison, the team then made use of an existing international archive of meteorological data that had been reconstructed with the help of tree rings and reaches back as far as year 1 of the Common Era. “What we found as a result was that summer 2023 was the hottest even over this very long period of time and was 2.20°C warmer than the mean summer temperature since year 1 CE,”
so 2.0C already hit but part of that is because 1850-1900 baseline is lower than we previously thought.
less censorship
People fail to understand we are in fiscal dominance rather than monetary dominance now and interest rate increases wont throttle inflation. Interest rate increases can actually create inflation now because that money is printed and paid to bondholders who then use it in the actual economy therefore creating more money chasing the same amount of goods , therefore inflationary. this is like the 40s not the 70s.
I doubt this shit even moves the needle any more than the general neoliberal greenwash bullshit. All the parties are pro-human growth and anti-nature if it comes to asking for sacrifice to standard of living for humans
tldr the bond market is about as distorted as soviet economy, this eventually meets reality
Come on. If we don’t dig it up and burn it, it’s going to stay under the ground.
Those who think we should continue using fossil fuels despite the climate change and weather effects we’re already seeing do not understand the physics of how the world works.
our energy requirements for being alive are much higher than a population that didn’t get itself on a hockey stick shaped population chart. we are in an intensification trap. we must continue to use fossil fuels to maintain the population and standard of living, unless we are willling to sacrifice the population and standard of living and/or renewables grow so much they take up the slack.
so any talk of leaving it in the ground needs to also include talk of how we are going to allocate the misery that comes from such.
as of 2024 meaningful carbon capture is still hopium and copium
Researchers and practitioners have questioned society’s ability to reach Gt-scale CDR from novel approaches such as BECCS and DACCS, given the small role these technologies play in climate change mitigation today
Others have highlighted the potential environmental (10–12) and social [e.g., food prices (11)] impacts of CDR, particularly for BECCS due to its high land and water requirements but also for DACCS.
They have also critiqued the role that CDR plays in net-zero policy narratives, arguing that optimistic assumptions about CDR in the future may be used to delay action today and represent a moral hazard whose risks are disproportionately borne by low-income countries and future generations .
… institutional, behavioral, and social barriers …, experience with related technologies suggests that they may be substantial
punctuated stairsteps down. sure there are crashes but its never that one crash that is the crash there is always the next one. 2008 was a crash , lots of people didnt really recover but we move on. the decline can still last a life time and we never cross the proverbial “collapse” where everyone busts out their bondage outfits and dunebuggies . People still go to work every day, people still need doctors , doctors still make more than day laborers , people still own stuff and parasitize those who dont etc…
Most people in collapse forums talk about collapse but have no real metric to measure by. I would look at global population , global “real” gdp, global institution size ie… supernational instituions like European union cracking up then later nations that were put together based on nonsense balkanizing. Life expectancy global and local. etc…
yeah secular cycles is great , particularly if you want a map of post fossil fuel future if we fumble the energy transition long term, the malthusianish cycles will start again. his blog is good too.