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Joined 7 months ago
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Cake day: April 4th, 2026

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  • Please tell me these aren’t related

    FTA:

    Duffy said the ground stoppage was issued after experts saw “instability for our radar and our communications in our centers and our coms across the country.”

    That’d be a weird wiring harness to hook into RF communications (read from a different article), air traffic radar, AND their network connecting their centers.

    He went on to say, “So we have TDM telecom. This is analog telecom. Our switches, our routers, actually got overloaded with data and they went down. I shouldn’t say they went down. They started to give us inconsistency in the data from those routers, and because of that we shut the system down.”

    First off, given all the other measures this admin attempts to save face, grounding the planes was the right call. Good job and please do it again if this situation ever comes up again.

    OK, so you went to bed Thursday and your network, while old, was sized correctly for the network traffic you have. You get into Friday and it’s overloaded? Were they pushing new AI traffic over the old network without upgrades, or pushing it over radios? Were they network routers or some other tech? I don’t think there’s enough information yet to make a call here.

    One really, really good path forward, since this seems to be the first time something like this has happened, is to put the NTSB on it and have them run their full investigative process. This time it might not’ve been a cyber attack, but this is what it’ll look like, so anything the NTSB turns up in terms of not having data to reconstruct the events should be treated as some sort of finding. Presumably the old ATC system held on so long because it comes from a day when strict system requirements were designed to and adhered to, and if new-fangled AI slop companies are going to swoop in and expect to “oops, you’re totally right, I shouldn’t have saved time by ramming those two airliners together in mid air” then this is the absolute time to put a stop to it.

    So to answer your question: we don’t really know yet, but we should.







  • In use cases like that, complex evaluation is required and probably can’t be fully automated anytime soon.

    It shouldn’t be, but it seems like there’s an apetite for letting the AI cook and blaming it if something goes wrong (no actual consequences faced). I can’t wait until an AI escapes test lab containment and sends a side channel message to the pricing AI to drop the power price to nothing so it’s cheaper to run more AI. /s

    I just don’t see people ever falling all the way out of the loop. Eventually economics will prevent the AI from becoming some tautological circle jerk if it doesn’t translate to profit, no matter how cool it is. I worry more about how techbros are setting the bridge on fire behind us before we find out where it goes.

    I liked AlecSadler’s answer from this thread. If you weren’t already comfortable with doing stats in something like python+scipy.stats then now might be a good time. With the pandas library it’s supposed to be a little like R. (ask me for more details if you want)

    Sorry for the half-ass answer.




  • The Jevons paradox point is interesting. Maybe we’ll finally get better software products, so far it seems like everything is as buggy and slow as as ever.

    The bar to be a coder is being lowered, but actual software engineering with metrics, requirements, and deadlines will probably increase. I can easily see a world where everyone rushes into the AI to solve problems that used to not be cost effective and at the end of the first push (hopefully that’s around now) there’s a lot of new, untested code, and no metrics whether programmers were more efficient, and more importantly no metrics (I saw stats PhD) about whether the bottom line increased: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/ai-redefining-wall-street-jobs.html

    How would one measure the efficacy of two different AI generated trading regimes (or however it is they work up there) when the people who understood what they were asking can’t understand any of the code?










  • So what do we do next? I mean, in terms of things that might actually help?

    Become a society with strong critical thinking skills who values people based on reasoned takes based on experience and science over people who value rapid, loud appeals to emotion.

    One piece of that is recognizing that doing things like putting flat earthers up in high altitude planes or near space is a waste of resources that could’ve been spent doing something better.

    EDIT: that last paragraph was an incomplete thought. Individual flat earthers have done the whole scientific method thing, and proved themselves incorrect and stepped away from it. How do you handle the people that refuse to be convinced? If there’s no level evidence that a person will accept and they’re out in the forest commons chopping down trees to build a tower to whatever is on top of earth, how do you tolerate it at a societal level? It’s still an incomplete thought.