back in my map era, we’re ukrainemaxxing right now
Declarations of the imminent doom of Ukraine are a news megathread specialty, and this is not what I am doing here - mostly because I’m convinced that whenever we do so, the war extends another three months to spite us. Ukraine has been in an essentially apocalyptic crisis for over a year now after the failure of the 2023 counteroffensive, unable to make any substantial progress and resigned to merely being a persistent nuisance (and arms market!) as NATO fights to the last Ukrainian. In this context, predicting a terminal point is difficult, as things seem to always be going so badly that it’s hard to understand how and why they fight on. In every way, Ukraine is a truly shattered country, barely held together by the sheer combined force of Western hegemony. And that hegemony is weakening.
I therefore won’t be giving any predictions of a timeframe for a Ukrainian defeat, but the coming presidency of Trump is a big question mark for the conflict. Trump has talked about how he wishes for the war to end and for a deal to be made with Putin, but Trump also tends to change his mind on an issue at least three or four times before actually making a decision, simply adopting the position of who talked to him last. And, of course, his ability to end the war might be curtailed by a military-industrial complex (and various intelligence agencies) that want to keep the money flowing.
The alignment of the US election with the accelerating rate of Russian gains is pretty interesting, with talk of both escalation and de-escalation coinciding - the former from Biden, and the latter from Trump. Russia very recently performed perhaps the single largest aerial attack of Ukraine of the entire war, striking targets across the whole country with missiles and drones from various platforms. In response, the US is talking about allowing Ukraine to hit long-range targets in Russia (but the strategic value of this, at this point, seems pretty minimal).
Additionally, Russia has made genuine progress in terms of land acquisition. We aren’t talking about endless and meaningless battles over empty fields anymore. Some of the big Ukrainian strongholds that we’ve been spending the last couple years speculating over - Chasiv Yar, Kupiansk, Orikhiv - are now being approached and entered by Russian forces. The map is actually changing now, though it’s hard to tell as Ukraine is so goddamn big.
Attrition has finally paid off for Russia. An entire generation of Ukrainians has been fed into the meat grinder. Recovery will take, at minimum, decades - more realistically, the country might be permanently ruined, until that global communist revolution comes around at least. And they could have just made a fucking deal a month into the war.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
vs
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/one-third-american-jewish-teens-say-they-sympathise-hamas-israeli-government-poll-shows
Young american jews support the resistance in great numbers.
:sicko-Hamas:
It’s always great seeing Israel’s “We represent all the Jews” narrative falling apart. Sane people want nothing to do with Israel.
Removed by mod
cmon, if they sympathize with hamas, just because they’re jewish doesn’t mean they’re zionist
Yes but liberals often have “sympathy” for the people they crush underfoot, as seen by land acknowledgements and affirmative action campaigns, but they continue to grind them underfoot anyway.
I’m not convinced having “sympathy” for your enemy is sufficient. Plenty of warmongering freaks claim to
These aren’t zionists in israel taking a victory lap on the corpses of Palestinians, they’re teens that are seeing a genocide supposedly in their name halfway across the world
My point is that shitting on them is weird, and even in good faith it conflates judaism with zionism
Yeah I’m not shitting on them to be clear, my issue is more with the wording of the poll and that we can’t glean much from this
I think at this point, the only way for anti-Zionist Jews to redeem Judaism from the clutches of the Zionists is to take up arms against Zionists. They need to do to the Zionists what Hezbollah and the IRGC did to ISIS. Besides the obvious geopolitical reasons, Hezbollah, the IRGC, and other members of the Axis of Resistance liquidated ISIS because ISIS debased Islam and through their liquidation, the Axis of Resistance managed to defend Islam from further debasement. No amount of “those takfiri terrorists don’t represent real Muslims” hand-wringing is worth the good in those takfiri terrorists being liquidated by the Party of Allah.
The point is that I would guess alot of those people are zionists and are therefore just giving hamas the good old thoughts and prayers routine.
I assume few? Isn’t the theory that we’re seeing a “geographic sorting” where the fanatics move to Israel and the normies move out? Obviously with plenty of exceptions, but isn’t that supposedly what we’ve been seeing for the past decade or two, especially in the past year? I don’t recall seeing much hard data on this, so maybe this is just inferred from the polling, would like to know more if anyone has more concrete info.
weird that you’re questioning their motivations/dedication. what does that accomplish and what point are you trying to make?
The point that I see is having “sympathy” for a group is not sufficient and doesn’t really mean anything. Poll Americans how they feel about Afghanis while they were occupying and terrorizing the nation, most would probably say they “sympathize” with the people there
That’s more an issue with the wording of the poll. It’s vague enough that we can’t really pull much meaning from it.
In the US right now, there is no other word or group more closely associated with “terrorism” than Hamas. It’s not quite at the level of Bin Laden or Al-Queda… but it’s close. Right now to say that you sympathize with Hamas is scandalous. I don’t think it’s a position you would sorta default into without giving it much thought.
To support Hamas is scandalous. To sympathize with them is what most progressive democrats do as they cry and press the button to send more bombs. Sympathy and support are not the same thing, one is material and the other is rhetorical.
Can you point to even one elected progressive that has said they sympathize with Hamas? Or any of the Palestinian resistance?
They’ll say they sympathize with Palestinians, but they always condemn Hamas.
poll americans about how they feel about the Taliban, and the numbers will be worse