Just the other day I joked about Japan joining BRICS and this could be one step in that direction.
Now I’m wondering what would be the first ex-US state to join. lol
Either way, it will be interesting to see what happens with Taiwan as the US is turning its focus on China. Although unlikely I guess we can’t rule out conflict starting not because of Taiwan being used against China but due to Taiwan going back to China and the US not liking it, even if it takes a decade.
It’s really hard to predict the future when things are so “chaotic”.
Very much agree with the last part, geopolitics is becoming highly volatile now and it’s hard to make any predictions regarding how things will develop in the near term. That said, I do think that the collapse of the global hegemony centred on the US is irreversible at this point. The question is what shape it will take in practical terms.
I said about a year ago that the first two countries to leave the US sphere of influence would probably be France or Japan. Japan has good relations with Brazil (biggest Japanese disporia in the world) and India, but has border conflicts with China and Russia, as well as admitting the war crimes Japan committed against the Chinese.
I would say that Saudi Arabia are the first as they have already begun the process of re-orientation. They are still trying to play both sides for the time being, but it’s clear which way the wind is blowing. And i think the next to leave the US sphere of influence will be Turkey.
Another one to keep an eye on is Pakistan where it is quite likely that Imran Khan and his party could make a return to power despite the best efforts of the US puppet government and the military to neutralize him as a political force. And he may be even more inclined to align with Russia and China now.
I am more pessimistic about Japan and France. Japan is too occupied by the US to really have a choice, and France’s political class is just too Atlanticist, plus they’re in the EU which is another layer of US control that they would have to break before being free to realign.
Just the other day I joked about Japan joining BRICS and this could be one step in that direction.
Now I’m wondering what would be the first ex-US state to join. lol
Either way, it will be interesting to see what happens with Taiwan as the US is turning its focus on China. Although unlikely I guess we can’t rule out conflict starting not because of Taiwan being used against China but due to Taiwan going back to China and the US not liking it, even if it takes a decade.
It’s really hard to predict the future when things are so “chaotic”.
Very much agree with the last part, geopolitics is becoming highly volatile now and it’s hard to make any predictions regarding how things will develop in the near term. That said, I do think that the collapse of the global hegemony centred on the US is irreversible at this point. The question is what shape it will take in practical terms.
I said about a year ago that the first two countries to leave the US sphere of influence would probably be France or Japan. Japan has good relations with Brazil (biggest Japanese disporia in the world) and India, but has border conflicts with China and Russia, as well as admitting the war crimes Japan committed against the Chinese.
I would say that Saudi Arabia are the first as they have already begun the process of re-orientation. They are still trying to play both sides for the time being, but it’s clear which way the wind is blowing. And i think the next to leave the US sphere of influence will be Turkey.
Another one to keep an eye on is Pakistan where it is quite likely that Imran Khan and his party could make a return to power despite the best efforts of the US puppet government and the military to neutralize him as a political force. And he may be even more inclined to align with Russia and China now.
I am more pessimistic about Japan and France. Japan is too occupied by the US to really have a choice, and France’s political class is just too Atlanticist, plus they’re in the EU which is another layer of US control that they would have to break before being free to realign.
ain’t no way japan joins while they’re occupied by the US. simply no way.