While insisting they don’t support “unilateral changes” to the status quo, US and EU officials won’t criticize Taipei’s blatant provocation
The Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) initiated a significant event, Operation Joint Sword-2024A, on Thursday. It involved the creation of a simulated blockade around the self-governing island of Taiwan, as well as areas around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, and Dongyin. It’s worth noting that this is the largest military drill of its kind in a year and follows the recent inauguration of Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te, who has made it clear that he will escalate the issue of formal independence.
During his address, Lai broke his promise of maintaining the status quo with the mainland. As Kathrine Hille, writing for the Financial Times, noted, he “used conspicuously different language, while also spelling out some of the facts that most jar Beijing.”
While Tsai Ing-wen, Lai’s predecessor, would reference “the Beijing authorities” or “the other side of the Strait,” which do not explicitly state that China and Taiwan are separate entities, the new leader mentioned “China” throughout his address.
He referred to “Taiwan” and “the Republic of China, Taiwan,” saying that “some call this land the Republic of China, some call it the Republic of China Taiwan, and some, Taiwan; but whichever of these names we ourselves or our international friends choose to call our nation, we will resonate and shine all the same.”
Referring to Taiwan as a “nation,” Lai quoted the Republic of China’s constitution – the state that lost control of the mainland to Communist forces during the Chinese Civil War in 1949 but still remains in Taiwan – to say that “the Republic of China Taiwan is a sovereign, independent nation in which sovereignty lies in the hands of the people” (of ROC nationality). “This tells us clearly: the Republic of China and the People’s Republic of China are not subordinate to each other,” he concluded.
Officials from the Kuomintang (KMT) party, the long-time ruling party before the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)’s electoral success in recent years, were quick to criticize Lai’s speech. For instance, former Taiwanese leader Ma Ying-jeou’s office harshly criticized him for introducing a “new two-country theory,” adding that his “direct and explicit stance is tantamount to leaning towards Taiwan independence, leading to an unprecedentedly dangerous situation between the two sides of the strait.”
I’m just writing this here because I have no where else good to put it at the moment but I’ve had another thought in light of the attack on Russia’s early warning radar.
But with the recent drone attacks on Russian early warning radar for nuclear defense I think we see what their plan may look like if they go the nuclear route. They’ve been caught shipping to Chinese hobbyists in various fields equipment which is capable of and primed for connection to western controlled command and control servers to do things like disrupt communications, launch hacking, attacks, etc. It’s reasonable to think that the Chinese haven’t found all of it and probably won’t in the near term. Perhaps some joint kind of radio jamming plus hacking plus drones attack on Chinese early warning radars in coordination with launching submarine based nuclear weapons to try and destroy China, take out their C&C and counter-strike capabilities and mortally wound them while taking minimal and acceptable (in the words of general Buck Turgidson of Dr. Strangelove) losses themselves.
I really worry about shit like this because the US only has to have a slight and temporary advantage and catch China off guard once for this to work and the US has the advantage of being deranged enough to do this while knowing for a fact that China & Russia, their enemies would never stoop so low and so has no need of defense on this matter or signing treaties against it. To say nothing of the fact that the US had early warning radars thousands of miles from its borders via NATO installations in Canada and installations in the Pacific and Alaska as well as of course those in Europe meaning even successfully neutralizing the entire massive front-line of US early warning radars would still leave the radars at the actual border giving them as much time as China and Russia have in their own best case scenarios.