No change in the type of missile, a Palestine-2 (Fattah-1/Kheibar Shekan variant). Overall in capabilities they’re getting better at evading midcourse interception since the beginning of the campaign, meaning Israel has to use terminal phase interceptors like Arrow-2 or THAAD. Overall 27 ballistic missiles of various types (some maneuverable, some not) have been launched at Israel since March 15, with 25 being partially or fully intercepted, and two direct hits. (92.5% interception rate, 7.5% hit rate). So you could say it’s a lucky hit, or an inevitable one given that 100% interception is impossible. The caveat here is that only one or two missiles are fired at a time by Yemen, if advanced missiles (like Palestine-2/Fattah-1/Kheibar Shekan) get fired in a sufficient volley, the hit rate would be substantially higher, even with THAAD in the picture.
So was there a change in their capabilities, or did a lucky one get thru?
No change in the type of missile, a Palestine-2 (Fattah-1/Kheibar Shekan variant). Overall in capabilities they’re getting better at evading midcourse interception since the beginning of the campaign, meaning Israel has to use terminal phase interceptors like Arrow-2 or THAAD. Overall 27 ballistic missiles of various types (some maneuverable, some not) have been launched at Israel since March 15, with 25 being partially or fully intercepted, and two direct hits. (92.5% interception rate, 7.5% hit rate). So you could say it’s a lucky hit, or an inevitable one given that 100% interception is impossible. The caveat here is that only one or two missiles are fired at a time by Yemen, if advanced missiles (like Palestine-2/Fattah-1/Kheibar Shekan) get fired in a sufficient volley, the hit rate would be substantially higher, even with THAAD in the picture.